In Segment One, Jerry dissects the week’s important economic and financial news including the latest PPI and CPI figures for April. Some economists are now warning that the U.S. is faced with disinflation (a general decrease in the existing inflation rate.) Jerry explains why this is important and how investors should be preparing for the Federal Reserve’s eventual exit strategy from its massive quantitative easing program.
Here’s our weekly Global Macro Trends Alert complete with ETF investing ideas for the week ahead. (FTM Insiders Only – Current subscribers must be logged in to view the chart.)
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Global Macro Trend Report - Updated 10/23/13
Index/Investment
ETF Ticker Symbol
Comments
Performance
SPDR KBW Insurance ETF
KIE
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $53.34.
UP 11.06% FROM TRIGGER
Market Vectors Gold Miners ETF
GDX
While the massive downtrend is still intact for the miners, the sector looks like it may be bottoming. I may buy shares of GDX if it is able to retake its 50 day moving average (currently near $28.06.)
SPDR Health Care Select ETF
XLV
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $48.06.
UP 9.47% FROM TRIGGER
SPDR S&P Retail ETF
XRT
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $76.01.
UP 9.37% FROM TRIGGER
iShares Biotech ETF
IBB
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $175.81.
UP 18.30% FROM TRIGGER
First Trust Consumer Staples ETF
FXG
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $31.13.
UP 10.73% FROM TRIGGER
ProShares UltraShort MSCI Japan
EWV
AVOID. This is a leveraged inverse ETF for Japan's Nikkei index. This fund makes money when the general Japanese stock market goes down in value. This is a good ETF to use for declining markets in Japan. (But use with caution as it is highly leveraged!)
ProShares UltraShort S&P 500 (Leveraged)
SPXU
This is a leveraged inverse ETF for the S&P 500. This fund makes money when the S&P 500 goes down in value. This is a good ETF to use in bear markets. (But use with caution as it is highly leveraged!)
S&P 500 Pure Value ETF
RPV
This is a good play for bullish markets.
S&P 500 Pure Growth ETF
RPG
This is a good play for bullish markets.
Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF
IJH
This segmented Index has outperformed the overall S&P 500 for years, including this year. This is a good play for bullish markets.
MidCap Dividend Fund
DON
This is a good play for bullish markets.
S&P 500 Industrials Sector ETF
VIS
This is a good play for bullish markets.
Nasdaq Composite
ONEQ
This is a good play for bullish markets.
Beacon Spin-off Index
CSD
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $37.26.
UP 16.18% FROM TRIGGER
Nasdaq 100 (Technology)
QQQ
This is a good play for bullish markets.
U.S. Financials (Financial Select Sector SPDR)
XLF
Financials have led the U.S. stock rally since last November. However, I don't expect the financial sector perform as well for the rest of 2013 in the face of rising interest rates.
S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary
RCD
This is a good play for bullish markets.
Credit Suisse Cushing 30 MLP Index ETN
MPLN
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $29.23. This ETF offer a good way to get access to numerous MLPs in one ETF.
PowerShares Buyback Achievers
PKW
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $35.46.
UP 14.21% FROM TRIGGER
Dynamic Pharmaceuticals ETF
PJP
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $42.55. This ETF is my favorite way to get long-term exposure to the explosion in Big Pharma. When I enter this ETF, I hold for as long as the uptrend lasts.
UP 13.04% FROM TRIGGER
UltraShort Yen
YCS
BUY POINT TRIGGERED AT $64.54. Want to short the Yen without venturing into the forex markets? Consider this VERY aggressive way to short the Yen. (Experienced traders only!)
DOWN 5.93% FROM TRIGGER
U.S. Dollar (Short)
UDN
TECHNICALS NEGATIVE. Think the U.S. Dollar is heading down in the short-term? Consider this ETF, which makes money when the U.S. Dollar goes down in value. The U.S. Dollar's rally remains intact but is nearing exhaustion based on technical indicators. UDN makes it easy for investors and traders to short the U.S. dollar in a single ETF. It bounced higher last week as we expected.
Gold (Long)
PHYSICAL
ATTEMPTING RALLY AFTER STRONG SELL-OFF BUT ALL SHORT-TERM TECHNICALS INDICATORS REMAIN NEGATIVE; LONG TERM UPTREND STILL INTACT DESPITE THE RECENT CARNAGE.
Gold (Short)
GLL
SHORT-TERM UPTREND INTACT. For those who want to make money shorting gold on down days, this is a good trading vehicle.
Silver
PHYSICAL
ATTEMPTING RALLY AFTER STRONG SELL-OFF BUT ALL SHORT-TERM TECHNICALS INDICATORS REMAIN NEGATIVE; LONG TERM UPTREND STILL INTACT DESPITE THE RECENT CARNAGE.
DISCLOSURE: Jerry Robinson currently owns shares of shares of the following ETFs: none, and continues to own physical gold and silver. NOTE: Jerry will only consider buying long ETFs when our Market Conditions Indicator Light is GREEN. During down markets (RED LIGHT), Jerry uses inverse ETFs to short the markets.
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Later, Tom Cloud and Jerry Robinson discuss the economy, including the gold and silver markets. Gold has lost over 7% in just 7 trading sessions. Meanwhile, silver is carving out a new multi-year low not seen since October 2010! What lies ahead for precious metals and how will the Fed’s June meeting impact hard assets? Find out in this week’s Precious Metals Market Update.
Signs in the Sun, Moon, and Stars: An Interview with Pastor Mark Biltz
In Segment Two, Jerry is joined by Pastor Mark Biltz from El Shaddai Ministries in Washington state. Pastor Biltz has been researching the Hebrew roots of Christianity for several years and has stumbled across an amazing discovery. According to the NASA website, four total lunar eclipses are scheduled to occur on the Jewish Feast of Tabernacles and on Passover in 2014 and 2015.
– 1948 (The year of the establishment of the Jewish homeland in the nation of Israel.)
– 1967 (The year of the Six Day War in which the Jewish nation regained control over the city of Jerusalem for the first time in centuries.)
According to Pastor Mark Biltz, the four back-to-back lunar eclipses occurring on Jewish Feast Days in 2014-2015 signifies important events for the nation of Israel — and even the global economy — in the months ahead.
This is a fascinating interview. Don’t miss it and be sure to share it with your family and friends through email and social media!
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