How Close Are We to the Next Market Crash?

March 10, 2014

IT’S GETTING FROTHY

How Close Are We to the Next Market Crash?

FTMDaily.com – One of the most common questions we receive here at FTMDaily is about the timing of the “next” market crash. Obviously, many investors (especially those with sizable retirement nest eggs to protect) remember all too well how the last two market crashes wreaked havoc on their retirement savings accounts. But unlike most of our peers, we don’t make major stock market forecasts or predictions, as it is against our philosophy. No one can predict these markets. And I mean, NO ONE.

Every day, we receive dozens of forwarded emails, chain emails, and emails from well-meaning market prognosticators claiming to know which direction the market is heading. And they are all wrong — nearly 100% of the time. Instead of making silly predictions, we simply “follow the money.” That is, our system measures 10 major real-time market indicators every evening after the market’s close to determine current market conditions. Two of the most important measurements we take are the price and the volume action. One thing that astute market observers quickly learn is that the “big money” moves markets.

For example, just prior to the 1929 stock market crash as the average investor was plowing his money into U.S. stocks, the big financial institutions were selling. Anyone with access to price and volume information in 1929 could see this clearly. The same thing has happened on numerous occasions throughout the entire 20th century, and even into our modern era.

When it comes to our hard-earned money, we don’t speculate, or try to “time the markets.” And we never change our investment strategy based upon any guru’s latest prognostications. Instead, we follow the money. When the price and volume action show that the big money is pulling money out of the market, we pull ours out too. Inversely, when the data show the big money piling into the markets, we join in the buying.

This simple model has served us well for many years and even kept us — and many of our readers — out of the 2008 stock market crash!

FTM Insiders, read our latest analysis on the U.S. stock market >>

(Is the stock market in buy mode? Or is it time to sell? Don’t lose money by guessing! Learn more about our powerful Market Barometer system..


Inside this Issue


Investor Wire: Profiting From the Coming Paper Money Collapse“Preparing — and Profiting — From the Coming Collapse”

Stock Caution Urged as Margin Debt Levels Hit New Highs

A number of warning signals are flashing in the stock market, and while not indicative of an imminent crash, they’re telling investors to exercise caution, say market strategists.

BIS: Global Debt Exceeds $100 Trillion as Governments Binge

The $30 trillion increase from $70 trillion between mid-2007 and mid-2013 compares with a $3.86 trillion decline in the value of equities to $53.8 trillion in the same period.

China Stocks Seen Rallying 24% at Goldman on Valuations

Goldman Sachs Group Inc. is sticking with its recommendation to buy Chinese stocks, the biggest losers worldwide this year, after valuations fell to the lowest level in a decade versus global peers.


7 Worst 401(k) Mistakes by Retirement Savers

If you have your sights set on achieving the retirement you desire, then don’t act like the typical 401(k) investor.

View the Investor Wire Archive >>

U.S. Financial Markets

Real-time Gold and Silver Prices

The Best Way to Buy Gold Coins, Gold Bars, Silver Coins, Silver Bars Online The Best Way to Buy Gold Coins, Gold Bars, Silver Coins, Silver Bars Online

Precious Metals Market Update with Tom Cloud


Global Wire - Tracking Global Trends“World News Headlines That We Are Tracking”

Reports: Object Spotted Floating Near Feared Crash Site of Missing Plane

Vietnam authorities have reportedly spotted an object floating in the ocean near two oil slicks that were discovered more than 24 hours ago.

Prisoners at the Palace: Saudi Princesses Claim They are Being Held by the King Against Their Will

Two daughters of the King of Saudi Arabia claim they and their sisters have been held prisoner in the royal palace for 13 years.

South Korea to Pay $550 Million for Iran Oil Under Nuclear Deal

South Korea will make a first payment of $550 million to Iran for imports of crude oil under an interim nuclear deal that has provided limited relief from sanctions.


McCain: ‘It’s Tragic’ There’s No U.S. Military Option In Ukraine

Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) is the “Energizer Bunny” of US interventionism: wherever there is a government to subvert, a regime to change, chaos to foment, there you will find McCain in its midst.

CIA Accused of Spying on Senate Panel Investigating Torture

Lawmakers who OK’d NSA spying now crying foul about CIA monitoring of their activities.

Assange: NSA, GCHQ’s Ability to Surveil Everyone on Planet ‘Almost Here’

The NSA and GCHQ will soon have the ability to spy on the entire planet, as their capabilities double every 18 months, Julian Assange told the South by Southwest (SXSW) conference on Saturday.

The Pentagon Basically Wants to Merge You With a Robot

From artificial mammal brains to prosthetics that feel like real limbs, the military’s blue-sky researchers are aiming to bring man and machine closer than ever before.

Florida Church Leaders Increasingly Bringing Their Guns to Church

Packing heat in Jesus’ name…

Netanyahu Says any Peace Deal with Palestinians at Least a Year Away

Prime minister says Kerry framework agreement is an ‘American document of American positions while Abbas categorically rejects recognizing Israel as a Jewish state.

Saudi Arabia and Qatar in ‘War on Iraq’: Maliki

Saudi Arabia and Qatar are supporting militant groups in Iraq and have effectively declared war on the country, Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki said.

Scientists Develop Blood Test to Detect Alzheimer’s

The test can detect the disease up to three years before the onset of symptoms, however it is only 90 per cent accurate.


Follow the Money Weekly Podcast - This Week's Episode

PODCAST: Gold and Stock Update

Broadcast Every Saturday Morning – Hosted by Jerry Robinson

Topic: No new radio show this week as Jerry Robinson was out sick with pneumonia…


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Chart of the Day: Daily Investment Trends for the Savvy Investor“Daily Investment Trends for the Savvy Investor”

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View the Daily Chart Archive >>


Daily Trading Idea: A Daily Stock Trading Idea for Short-Term Traders“A Daily Stock Trading Idea for Short-Term Traders”
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A Daily Dose of Financial Wisdom from God's Word
“A Daily Dose of Financial Wisdom from God’s Word”

“He who tills his land will have plenty of food, but he who follows empty pursuits will have poverty in plenty. A faithful man will abound with blessings, but he who makes haste to be rich will not go unpunished.”
Proverbs 28:19-20


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